A new tool has been launched to help Fantasy Premier League fans find reliable line-up predictions.
Fantasy Football Line-up Prediction (FFLP) compares some of the most popular fantasy football sites to evaluate how reliable their predicted team line-ups are.
Devised by Andrew West, a former professional gambler and now industry consultant, the unique algorithm compares leading sites Fantasy Football Scout, Fantasy Football Pundits, Rotowire and Guardian Sport to see which source is best for predicted line-ups.
West, a self-confessed “geek” and keen FPL player said: “Predicted lineups are such an important part of any serious FPL fans’ strategy. You need to know who’s likely to play so you can build your own team effectively.
“There are many places you can go to get this information so I built the tool to see how they compare to each other to help fans know where to go to make the most informed decision.
“So far I’ve picked four of the most prominent sources and I’ll be looking to add more in the near future.”
Fantasy Football Line-up Prediction is updated for every match and after every gameweek and fans can follow the account on Twitter.
Most reliable FPL line-up predictor?
So, where’s the best place to get PL line-ups? According to FFLP so far, Fantasy Football Scout is the most reliable source, with just 1.63 errors per line up from 263 games recorded this season.
Next-best is Guardian Sport with 1.79 errors from 256. Fantasy Football Pundits has an error rate of 1.82 from 106 line-ups, while Rotowire is at 2.02 from 244 predicted line-ups.
The most impressive line-up prediction for gameweek 17 came from Fantasy Football Scout, which got 9 of 11 Crystal Palace players correctly, while rival sites averaged 7.33 correct picks. By comparison, Rotowire expected Riedewald, Dann, Eze, van Aanholt and Clyne to start. Crystal Palace picked Mitchell, Tomkins, Schlupp, Milivojevic and Ward instead.
West also has plans to build more FPL tools in the near future. He said: “I’d love it if these stats spurred sites into making more accurate predictions.
“I’m working to add more sources as well as some simple lineup prediction models – the ‘default’ is already in, where you use last week’s lineup.
“Next up, I’ll add a ‘wisdom of the crowds’ version where it takes an average of all predictions that week.”
Read more about the making of Fantasy Football Line-up Prediction.